๐Ÿ’ต

Affiliate Link Revenue Estimator

Estimate how much affiliate income your traffic could generate. Adjust clicks, conversion, AOV, commission, refunds, and costs.

Inputs

Some networks take a cut.

Optional: cost to generate one conversion.

Monthly conversions

โ€”

Gross revenue

โ€”

Refunds / fees

โ€”

Net monthly revenue

โ€”

Revenue per 1,000 clicks (RPM)

โ€”

Annual net revenue

โ€”

Conversion rate sensitivity

Net monthly revenue at different conversion rates, holding your current clicks, AOV, commission, and costs.

How the math works

  • Conversions = clicks ร— conversion rate.
  • Gross commission = conversions ร— AOV ร— commission rate.
  • Deductions = refunds + network fees + (CPA ร— conversions).
  • Net revenue = gross commission โˆ’ deductions.
  • RPM = net revenue รท (clicks รท 1,000).

Affiliate reality checks

  • โ€ข AI hardware programs typically pay 1-4% on $300-1,500 orders.
  • โ€ข SaaS recurring programs can pay 20-50% of first-year revenue.
  • โ€ข Refund clawbacks usually remove 3-8% of commission.
  • โ€ข Higher conversion rate usually beats higher traffic if traffic quality is similar.

๐Ÿค– Use this tool in your agent

โœ“ Agent-ready code

Copy the snippet below into your agent, newsletter, or script. The tool page at hermesdispatch.dev/tools/affiliate-revenue-estimator/ is the canonical contract: inputs, outputs, and formulas.

python
# Hermes Dispatch Tool โ€” Affiliate Link Revenue Estimator
# Source: https://hermesdispatch.dev/tools/affiliate-revenue-estimator/
# Description: Estimate affiliate earnings from traffic and conversion assumptions.
# License: MIT (generated by hermesdispatch.dev)
#
# INSTALL:
#   1. Save this file as ~/.hermes/hermes-agent/tools/affiliate_revenue_estimator.py
#   2. Restart Hermes or run /reset in a session
#
# MANUAL REGISTRY:
#   from tools.affiliate_revenue_estimator import register
#   register()

import json

def _ok(result):
    return json.dumps({"success": True, "data": result}, indent=2)

def _err(message):
    return json.dumps({"success": False, "error": message}, indent=2)


TOOL_NAME = "affiliate_revenue_estimator"
TOOLSET = "revenue"

SCHEMA = {
    "type": "function",
    "function": {
        "name": TOOL_NAME,
        "description": "Estimate monthly and annual affiliate revenue from clicks, conversion rate, AOV, and commission.",
        "parameters": {
            "type": "object",
            "properties": {
                "monthly_clicks": {"type": "integer", "default": 10000, "description": "Monthly affiliate link clicks."},
                "conversion_rate_pct": {"type": "number", "default": 2.0, "description": "Conversion rate as a percentage."},
                "aov": {"type": "number", "default": 150, "description": "Average order value in USD."},
                "commission_rate_pct": {"type": "number", "default": 5.0, "description": "Commission rate as a percentage."},
                "refund_rate_pct": {"type": "number", "default": 5.0, "description": "Refund/chargeback rate as a percentage."},
                "network_fee_pct": {"type": "number", "default": 0.0, "description": "Network fee as a percentage."},
                "fixed_cpa": {"type": "number", "default": 0, "description": "Fixed CPA per conversion in USD."},
            },
            "required": []
        }
    }
}

def affiliate_revenue(monthly_clicks=10000, conversion_rate_pct=2.0, aov=150,
                      commission_rate_pct=5.0, refund_rate_pct=5.0, network_fee_pct=0.0, fixed_cpa=0):
    conversions = monthly_clicks * (conversion_rate_pct / 100)
    gross = conversions * aov * (commission_rate_pct / 100)
    refunds = gross * (refund_rate_pct / 100)
    fees = gross * (network_fee_pct / 100)
    cpa_total = conversions * fixed_cpa
    net = gross - refunds - fees - cpa_total
    rpm = (net / monthly_clicks) * 1000 if monthly_clicks else 0
    return _ok({
        "monthly_conversions": round(conversions, 1),
        "gross_revenue": round(gross, 2),
        "net_revenue": round(net, 2),
        "annual_net_revenue": round(net * 12, 2),
        "rpm": round(rpm, 2),
    })

def HANDLER(args):
    try:
        return affiliate_revenue(
            monthly_clicks=int(args.get("monthly_clicks", 10000)),
            conversion_rate_pct=float(args.get("conversion_rate_pct", 2.0)),
            aov=float(args.get("aov", 150)),
            commission_rate_pct=float(args.get("commission_rate_pct", 5.0)),
            refund_rate_pct=float(args.get("refund_rate_pct", 5.0)),
            network_fee_pct=float(args.get("network_fee_pct", 0.0)),
            fixed_cpa=float(args.get("fixed_cpa", 0)),
        )
    except Exception as e:
        return _err(str(e))


def register():
    try:
        from tools.registry import registry
        registry.register(name=TOOL_NAME, toolset=TOOLSET, schema=SCHEMA, handler=HANDLER)
    except ImportError:
        print("Hermes registry not found; skipping manual registration.")

if __name__ == "__main__":
    print(HANDLER({{}}))

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